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101.
The effect of real rates of interest on housing prices 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
Jack C. Harris 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》1989,2(1):47-60
During the late 1970s, U.S. house prices were appreciating rapidly even though mortgage interest rates were climbing. Recently, interest rates have eased but prices have moderated. This study examines the role of appreciation expectations in overcoming the negative effects of nominal mortgage interest rates on house prices. Expectations of future appreciation are important determinants of house sales prices, remaining influential during periods of declining and moderating real prices, not just when prices are rising. The real rate of interest, as viewed by the homebuyer, is the mechanism for affecting change in housing price levels. Because the nominal interest rate is slow to reflect changes in expectations, these real rates vary over time. This ebb and flow of real interest rates appears to explain market price levels. Nominal rates play a role as well, primarily in the formation of appreciation expectations. 相似文献
102.
Peter Chinloy 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》1991,4(1):33-47
The decision to relocate has traditionally been based on job opportunities alone, with no attention paid to the real estate market. The cost of housing, its rate of return, and its specificity to a location do not enter the decision to move or stay. This article develops a more general definition of income, including real estate and labor markets. The null hypothesis is that relocation is based on comparing labor income differentials alone. The alternative is that income is more broadly based, including real estate returns. Estimates are provided in a quantal choice framework. 相似文献
103.
104.
Productivity and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
This article analyses the impact of productivity developments in the United States and the euro area on the euro-dollar exchange
rate. The article presents a new measure of relative average labour, productivity (ALP) which does not suffer from the biases
implicit in readily available relative ALP data. Importantly, the patterns of these series differ widely. Employing the Johansen
cointegration framework, four models are estimated using four different productivity proxies. Our results indicate that the
extent to which productivity can explain the euro depreciation varies with the productivity proxy used: readily available
measures explain most, our new, preferred measure least. In all models, however, productivity can explain only a fraction
of the actual euro depreciation experienced in 1999–2000. JEL no. F31, C32, O47
The views expressed in this study are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Central Bank
or its staff. 相似文献
105.
论中国不动产利益分配机制体系的构建 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
不动产利益分配机制体系是价格、租金、税收和收费的有机组合,由于相关制度的不配套以及改革的“路径依赖”,中国现行的不动产利益分配机制体系仍然存在重大缺陷。在本中我们将首先从理论上阐述不动产利益分配机制的一般关系,然后以家庭承包制为切入点,论述中国农村不动产利益分配机制体系的改革,最后以城市房地产行业为切入点,论述中国城市不动产利益分配机制体系的调整。 相似文献
106.
Rose Neng Lai Ko Wang Jing Yang 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2007,34(1):159-188
In this study we incorporate sticky rents into a real options model to rationalize the widely documented overbuilding puzzle
in real estate markets. Given the assumption that developers’ objective function is to maximize total revenue by selecting
an optimal occupancy level, our model provides a better explanation of the phenomena we observed in the real world than the
traditional market-clearance based real options models. We also show that developers’ exercise strategies can be affected
by the size and the type of property markets. In other words, developers’ exercise strategies could differ among markets and
under different conditions.
Submitted to Cambridge—Maastricht 2005 Symposium. 相似文献
107.
Dean A. Paxson 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2007,34(1):135-157
Property development activities often occur in stages, which are appropriately modeled as sequential American exchange property
options, where there are interim expenditures required in order to keep the property development options “alive”. Normally
American exchange options require a numerical solution, but herein there is a new closed-form approximate solution, which
is computationally efficient and accurate. This method combines repeats of Margrabe European exchange and Geske compound option
solutions with tight upper boundaries of either American perpetuities or European exchange options with a high volatility.
Illustrations are provided of the sensitivity of the real sequential options and optimal timing to changes in several parameters,
which provide a framework for property policy (tax, subsidy and regulatory) guidelines and for property development strategy
evaluation. There are several plausible applications of these real option models in commercial and residential property development,
within commercial property leases, with regard to switching tenants, and agricultural alternatives. 相似文献
108.
The wireless industry is one of the most capital intensive high-technology industries. This paper applies real options techniques to estimate investments under uncertainty in two new ventures: (a) deferral of the expansion from 2.5G to 3G networks; and (b) expansion of a 2.5G network using Wi-Fi as an alternative technology. The cases are examined and analyzed both qualitatively and quantitatively, using realistic assumptions and parameters. Investment cost, number of subscribers, pricing of services, and risk are at the core of investment decision processing. In both cases, sensitivity analysis of the value of the (real) option considering the above key parameters was conducted, to extrapolate useful findings that should be taken into consideration by the decision makers in wireless companies. 相似文献
109.
台湾地区对土地和房屋分别征税,在保有和交易环节分别设置税种。本文在介绍台湾地区房屋、土地保有环节税收情况的基础上,对大陆地区房地产税收征管工作提出了几点建议。 相似文献
110.
房地产税收调控政策的效应分析与建议 总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9
本文梳理了2005年以来国家针对房地产投资规模过大和部分城市住房价格上涨过快状况而出台的多项税收调控措施,并通过理论和实证分析认为,房地产税收调控政策的重点应从目前对供给方征税转向对需求方征税,即在房地产保有环节征税。为此,应尽快建立起全面准确的房地产信息资料和监控系统,加快推进物业税(不动产税)的改革。 相似文献